Building a platform for data-driven pandemic prediction : from data modelling to visualisation - the CovidLP Project

Author(s)

    • Gamerman, Dani
    • Prates, Marcos O.
    • Paiva, Thais
    • Mayrink, Vinicius D.

Bibliographic Information

Building a platform for data-driven pandemic prediction : from data modelling to visualisation - the CovidLP Project

edited by Dani Gamerman ... [et al.]

Chapman & Hall/CRC, [2021]

  • : hbk

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Note

Includes bibliographical references and index

Description and Table of Contents

Description

This book is about building platforms for pandemic prediction. It provides an overview of probabilistic prediction for pandemic modeling based on a data-driven approach. It also provides guidance on building platforms with currently available technology using tools such as R, Shiny, and interactive plotting programs. The focus is on the integration of statistics and computing tools rather than on an in-depth analysis of all possibilities on each side. Readers can follow different reading paths through the book, depending on their needs. The book is meant as a basis for further investigation of statistical modelling, implementation tools, monitoring aspects, and software functionalities. Features: A general but parsimonious class of models to perform statistical prediction for epidemics, using a Bayesian approach Implementation of automated routines to obtain daily prediction results How to interactively visualize the model results Strategies for monitoring the performance of the predictions and identifying potential issues in the results Discusses the many decisions required to develop and publish online platforms Supplemented by an R package and its specific functionalities to model epidemic outbreaks The book is geared towards practitioners with an interest in the development and presentation of results in an online platform of statistical analysis of epidemiological data. The primary audience includes applied statisticians, biostatisticians, computer scientists, epidemiologists, and professionals interested in learning more about epidemic modelling in general, including the COVID-19 pandemic, and platform building. The authors are professors at the Statistics Department at Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. Their research records exhibit contributions applied to a number of areas of Science, including Epidemiology. Their research activities include books published with Chapman and Hall/CRC and papers in high quality journals. They have also been involved with academic management of graduate programs in Statistics and one of them is currently the President of the Brazilian Statistical Association.

Table of Contents

I Introduction 1. Overview of the book 2. Pandemic Data II Modelling 3. Basic Epidemiological Features 4. Data Distributions 5. Modelling Specific Data Features 6. Review of Bayesian Inference III Further Modelling 7. Modelling Misreported Data 8. Hierarchical Modelling IV Implementation 9. Data Extraction/ETL 10. Automating Modelling and Inference 11. Building an Interactive App with Shiny V Monitoring 12. Daily Evaluation of the Updated Data 13. Investigating Inference Results 14. Comparing Predictions VI Software 15. PandemicLP Package: Basic Functionalities 16. Advanced Settings: The Pandemic Model Funtion VII Conclusion 17. Future Directions

by "Nielsen BookData"

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