Taking stock of shock : social consequences of the 1989 revolutions

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Taking stock of shock : social consequences of the 1989 revolutions

Kristen Ghodsee and Mitchell A. Orenstein

Oxford University Press, c2021

  • : pbk

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Includes bibliographical references and index

Description and Table of Contents

Description

Kristen Ghodsee and Mitchell A. Orenstein blend empirical data with lived experiences to produce a robust picture of who won and who lost in post-communist transition, contextualizing the rise of populism in Eastern Europe. After the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, more than 400 million people suddenly found themselves in a new reality, a dramatic transition from state socialist and centrally planned workers' states to liberal democracy (in most cases) and free markets. Thirty years later, postsocialist citizens remain sharply divided on the legacies of transition. Was it a success that produced great progress after a short recession, or a socio-economic catastrophe foisted on the East by Western capitalists? Taking Stock of Shock aims to uncover the truth using a unique, interdisciplinary investigation into the social consequences of transition-including the rise of authoritarian populism and xenophobia. Showing that economic, demographic, sociological, political scientific, and ethnographic research produce contradictory results based on different disciplinary methods and data, Kristen Ghodsee and Mitchell Orenstein triangulate the results. They find that both the J-curve model, which anticipates sustained growth after a sharp downturn, and the "disaster capitalism" perspective, which posits that neoliberalism led to devastating outcomes, have significant basis in fact. While substantial percentages of the populations across a variety of postsocialist countries enjoyed remarkable success, prosperity, and progress, many others suffered an unprecedented socio-economic catastrophe. Ghodsee and Orenstein conclude that the promise of transition still remains elusive for many and offer policy ideas for overcoming negative social and political consequences.

Table of Contents

List of Tables List of Figures Acknowledgments Authors' Note on Terminology Introduction: Transition from Communism - Qualified Success or Utter Catastrophe? Part One: The Economic Evidence Chapter One: The Plan for a J-Curve Transition Chapter Two: Plan Meets Reality Chapter Three: Modifying the Framework Chapter Four: Counter-Narratives of Catastrophe Part Two: The Demographic Evidence Chapter Five: Where Have All the People Gone? Chapter Six: The Mortality Crisis Chapter Seven: Collapse in Fertility Chapter Eight: Outmigration Crisis Part Three: The Public Opinion Evidence Chapter Nine: Disappointment with Transition Chapter Ten: Public Opinion of Winners and Losers Chapter Eleven: Evaluations Shift Over Time Chapter Twelve: Towards a New Social Contract? Part Four: The Ethnographic Evidence Chapter Thirteen: Portraits of Desperation Chapter Fourteen: Resistance is Futile Chapter Fifteen: Return to the Past Chapter Sixteen: The Patriotism of Despair Conclusion: Towards an Inclusive Prosperity Appendix: Data Sources Selected Bibliography

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