Advanced introduction to scenario planning
著者
書誌事項
Advanced introduction to scenario planning
(Elgar advanced introductions)
E. Elgar, c2022
- : cased
大学図書館所蔵 全2件
  青森
  岩手
  宮城
  秋田
  山形
  福島
  茨城
  栃木
  群馬
  埼玉
  千葉
  東京
  神奈川
  新潟
  富山
  石川
  福井
  山梨
  長野
  岐阜
  静岡
  愛知
  三重
  滋賀
  京都
  大阪
  兵庫
  奈良
  和歌山
  鳥取
  島根
  岡山
  広島
  山口
  徳島
  香川
  愛媛
  高知
  福岡
  佐賀
  長崎
  熊本
  大分
  宮崎
  鹿児島
  沖縄
  韓国
  中国
  タイ
  イギリス
  ドイツ
  スイス
  フランス
  ベルギー
  オランダ
  スウェーデン
  ノルウェー
  アメリカ
注記
Includes bibliographical references (p. 155-165) and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Elgar Advanced Introductions are stimulating and thoughtful introductions to major fields in the social sciences, business and law, expertly written by the world's leading scholars. Designed to be accessible yet rigorous, they offer concise and lucid surveys of the substantive and policy issues associated with discrete subject areas.
Providing a panoramic overview of the evolving world of scenario planning, this Advanced Introduction uses topical case studies to analyze the developing methodologies of scenario planning. Written by Paul J.H. Schoemaker, a leading authority on the topic, this book synthesizes rigorous theory and practical experiences including best practises, normative views, and future challenges or opportunities for scenario planning.
Key Features:
Explains why future uncertainties require more than traditional risk analysis when ambiguous unknowns or Black Swans are involved
Illustrates scenario planning through an in-depth case analysis of the biosciences which, in the wake of global pandemics, are gaining in societal import
Examines how historical thinking and historiography can enrich scenarios by revisiting future projections made for South Africa post-apartheid
Shows why scenario planning fosters critical and creative thinking by overcoming myopic framing, overconfidence and other biases in organizations
Examines methodological and statistical techniques in scenario planning, including model building and simulations, and their connections to strategy formulation
Interdisciplinary in its approach, this Advanced Introduction will prove invaluable to students and scholars of public policy, business management, and organizational studies. Its tools and practical advice will also be a vital resource to practitioners and policy leaders involved in leading or implementing scenario planning in their organizations.
目次
Contents: 1. Introduction to scenario planning 2. What scenario planning is about PART I SETTING THE STAGE 3. A short history of scenario planning 4. Scenarios for the biosciences 5. Juxtaposing scenario narratives PART II LOOKING UNDER THE HOOD 6. Methodological perspectives and pointers 7. History, uncertainty and subjectivism 8. Links to strategy, plans and choices PART III MANAGEMENT CHALLENGES 9. Biases and practical pitfalls 10. Conclusions and future challenges Bibliography Index
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