書誌事項

Review and recommendations

(Improving information for social policy decisions : the uses of microsimulation modeling / Constance F. Citro and Eric A. Hanushek, editors ; Panel to Evaluate Microsimulation Models for Social Welfare Programs, Committee on National Statistics, Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences Education, National Research Council, v. 1)

National Academy Press, 1991

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注記

Includes bibliographical references (p. 314-330) and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation models--large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed changes in government policies ranging from health care to welfare to taxes. Volume 1 is designed to guide future investment in modeling and analysis capability on the part of government agencies that produce policy estimates. It will inform congressional and executive decision makers about the strengths and weaknesses of models and estimates and will interest social scientists in the potential of microsimulation techniques for basic and applied research as well as policy uses. The book concludes that a "second revolution" is needed to improve the quality of microsimulation and other policy analysis models and the estimates they produce, with a special emphasis on systematic validation of models and communication of validation results to decision makers.

目次

v. 1. Review and recommendations -- v. 2. Technical papers.

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