Advances in business and management forecasting

著者

• Lawrence, Kenneth D.
• Geurts, Michael D.
• Guerard, John G.
• Klimberg, Ronald K

書誌事項

Advances in business and management forecasting

JAI Press, 2002-

• v. 3
• v. 4
• v. 5
• v. 6
• v. 7
• v. 8
• v. 9
• v. 10
• v. 11
• v. 12 : print
• v. 13 : print

注記

v. 3 edited by Kenneth D. Lawrence, Michael D. Geurts, John G. Guerard, Jr

v. 4-5 edited by Kenneth D. Lawrence, Michael D. Geurts

v. 6- edited by Kenneth D. Lawrence, Ronald K. Klimberg

v. 7- published by Emerald

Includes bibliographical references

子書誌あり

内容説明・目次

巻冊次

v. 3 ISBN 9780762304370

内容説明

This volume is part of a blind refereed serial publication published on an annual basis. The objective of this research annual is to present studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making (an accurate, robust forecast is critical to effective decision making). It is the hope and direction of the research annual to become an applications- and practitioner-oriented publication. The topics include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgementally-based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accurate and sales response models.

目次

• Forecasting Accuracy and Methods: Obtaining a seasonal index for forecasting when the data contain a trend
• How to make accurate market share forecasts with structural response models
• What to do when sales forecasts are not accurate enough
• The relationship between accuracy and expenditure forecasting
• Forecast model selection - Genetic Algorithm Neutral Network approach
• Forecasting practices of MBAs
• Forecasting ARIMA methods - a comparison of internet and fractionally different models. Forecasting Applications: Regression forecast modeling -a case study
• Managing to retain sales forecaster
• Consistent judgmental directional probability exchange rate prediction
• Communicating revenue uncertainty using revenue semaphores.

巻冊次

v. 4 ISBN 9780762312818

内容説明

"Advances in Business and Management Forecasting" is a blind refereed serial publication published on an annual basis. The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making. (An accurate, robust forecast is critical to effective decision making.) It is the hope and direction of the research annual to become an applications- and practitioner-oriented publication. The topics will normally include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgmentally based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accuracy, and sales response models. It is both the hope and direction of the editorial board to stimulate the interest of the practitioners of forecasting to methods and techniques that are relevant.

目次

Forecasting and the Supply Chain. Forecasting in Supply Chain Management. (K.D. Lawrence, S.M. Lawrence, R. Klimberg). Extracting Forecasts from Advance Orders. (F. Waage). Inventory Shipment Ratio Time Series Models for Durable and Non-Durable Products. (S. Mitra). Forecasting and Financial Applications. An Application of Confirmatory Factor Analysis to the A Priori Classification of Financial Ratios. (S.K. Chen, A.D. Olinsky). Bank Rating Change Predictions Alternative Forecasting Models. (D.T. Cadden, V. Driscoll). Forecasting Security Returns: The Use of Heterogeneous Expectations. (R. Abraham, C.W. Harrington). Sales Forecasting. Combining Moving Averages with Exponential Smoothing to Produce More Stable Sales Forecasts. (T.S. Dhakar, C.P. Schmidt, D.M. Miller). Improved Exponential Smoothing with Applications to Sales Forecasting. (T.S Dhakar, C.P. Schmidt, D.M. Miller). Using Flow through and Diffusion Models to Forecast New Product Sales. (M.D. Geurts, D. Whitlark). An Application of a Repeat Purchase Diffusion Model to the Pharmaceutical Industry. (F.J. Carter et al.). Forecasting Product Sales with Conjoint Analysis Data.(D. Whitlark). Improving Sales Forecasts by Testing Underlying Hypotheses about Consumer Behavior: A Proposed Qualitative Method. (E.D DeRosia, G.L. Christenson, D.B. Whitlark). Forecasting Methods and Analysis. Forecasting Sales of Comparable Units with Data Envelopment Analysis. (R. Klimberg, K.D. Lawrence, S.M. Lawrence). Data Mining Reliability: Model-Building with MARS and Neural Networks. (R.J. Lierano, E.S. Kyper). Selecting Forecasting Intervals to Increase Usefulness and Accuracy. (M.D. Geurts). Forecasting Simultaneous Brand Life Cycle Trajectories. (F. Waage). A Typology of Psychological Biases in Forecasting Analysis. (P. Dishnum). A Forecast Combination Methodology for Demand Forecasting. (J.G. May, J.M. Sulek).

巻冊次

v. 5 ISBN 9780762314782

内容説明

"Advances in Business and Management Forecasting" is a blind refereed serial publication published on an annual basis. The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making. (An accurate, robust forecast is critical to effective decision making.) It is the hope and direction of the research annual to become an applications and practitioner-oriented publication.The topics will normally include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgmentally-based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accuracy, and sales response models. It is both the hope and direction of the editorial board to stimulate the interest of the practitioners of forecasting to methods and techniques that are relevant. In Volume 5, there are sections devoted to financial applications of forecasting, as well as demand forecasting. There is, also, a section on general business applications of forecasting, as well as one on forecasting methodologies.It presents state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making. It is published annually.

目次

Using neural networks vs. multiple discriminant analysis to forecast bond rating changes. Cross-listing, corporate governance and operating performance - evidence from The Chinese market. Forecasting option spreads: The use of multiple listing. Improved performance evaluation of comparable units with data envelopment analysis (DEA). A goal programming model for hierarchical forecasting. A principal component analysis-based linear dynamic system for demand forecasting. A comparison of methods for forecasting intermittent demand with increasing or decreasing probability of demand occurrences. Forecasting deep consumer resonance: an application of the Zaltman metaphor elicitation technique (ZMET). Forecasting with innovation diffusion models: A life cycle example in the telecommunications industry. Business forecasting case selection: The united way example. Forecasting the consequences of negative atypical events: the case of tourism and terrorist attacks. Fully synchronized supply chain forecasting. A new method for estimating forecasting functions. Temporally aggregating models to improve the accuracy of seasonal M3 forecasts. Applying resampling scheme to time series analysis. Understanding donor behavior: An empirical study of statistical and non-parametric methods. List of Contributors. EDITORIAL BOARD.

巻冊次

v. 7 ISBN 9780857242013

内容説明

"Advances in Business and Management Forecasting" is a blind refereed serial publication published on an annual basis. The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making (an accurate, robust forecast is critical to effective decision making). It is the hope and direction of the research annual to become an applications and practitioner-oriented publication. The topics of this title will normally include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgmentally-based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accuracy, and sales response models. It is both the hope and direction of the editorial board to stimulate the interest of the practitioners of forecasting to methods and techniques that are relevant. In Volume 7, there are sections devoted to financial applications of forecasting, as well as marketing demand applications. There are, also, sections on forecasting methodologies and evaluation, as well as on other application areas of forecasting.

目次

List of Contributors. EDITORIAL BOARD. Two-dimensional warranty policies incorporating product development. Forecasting the use of seasoned equity offerings. The impact of life cycle on the value relevance of financial performance measures. Forecasting model for strategic and operations planning of a nonprofit health care organization. Seasonal regression forecasting in the U.S. beer import market. A comparison of combination forecasts for cumulative demand. Channel share prediction in direct marketing retailing: The role of relative channel benefits. Predicting a new brand's life cycle trajectory. Forecasting performance measures - what are their practical meaning?. Forecasting using fuzzy multiple objective linear programming. A deterministic approach to small data set partitioning for neural networks. Forecasting the 2008 U.S. presidential election using options data. Recognition of geometric and frequency patterns for improving setup management in electronic assembly operations. Using digital media to monitor and forecast a firm's public image. Evaluating survival likelihoods in palliative patients using multiple criteria of survival rates and quality of life. Advances in business and management forecasting. Advances in business and management forecasting. Copyright page.

巻冊次

v. 8 ISBN 9780857249593

内容説明

"Advances in Business and Management Forecasting" is a blind refereed serial publication published on an annual basis. The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making. (An accurate, robust forecast is critical to effective decision making.) It is the hope and direction of the research annual to become an applications and practitioner-oriented publication. The topics will normally include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgmentally-based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accuracy, and sales response models. It is both the hope and direction of the editorial board to stimulate the interest of the practitioners of forecasting to methods and techniques that are relevant.

目次

List of Contributors. EDITORIAL BOARD. Removing Systematic Bias from Demand Forecasts. Seasonal Influences on Electricity Demand in the Mid-Atlantic Region. Propane Demand Modeling for Residential Sectors: A Regression Analysis. A Multiobjective Model for Warranty Policies Integrating Product Quality, Market Share, and R&D Expenditures. Forecasting Bank Solvency: An Emphasis on Loan Quality. An Evaluation of Financial Analysts and Naive Methods in Forecasting Long-Term Earnings. Short-Term Predictions of the Total Medical Costs of California Counties. Estimating Admissions and Discharges for Planning Purposes - Case of an Academic Health System. Simulation to Forecast the Impact of Electronic Medical Records and Inventory (Patient) Postponement in Developing Efficient Heath Care Supply Chains. Forecasting with Information from the Future. Prediction Markets as a Forecasting Tool. Forecasting, Control, and Management of a Production System Using Predictive Visual Interactive Simulation. Percentage Forecasting Error: A New Forecasting Performance Measure - How Accurate is it?. Advances in business and management forecasting. Advances in business and management forecasting. Advances in business and management forecasting. Copyright page.

巻冊次

v. 9 ISBN 9781781903315

内容説明

'Advances in Business and Management Forecasting' is a blind refereed serial publication published on an annual basis. The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing and strategic decision making.

目次

List of Contributors. EDITORIAL BOARD. Census Forecasting in an Inpatient Rehabilitation Facility. Forecasting Activity Levels as a Baseline for Predicting Pain and Discomfort Levels in Canines. Forecasting Patient Volume for a Large Hospital System: A Comparison of the Periodicity of Time Series Data and Forecasting Approaches. Estimation of Penalty Costs in Service Industries. Price Dynamics on Earning Announcement. How to Lessen the Disposition Effect? It Pays to Study Before Investing. Forecasting U.S. Cotton Prices in a Changing Market. Macro Econometric Models to Predict the NAV of an Asset Allocation Fund, VWELX. Applying Technology Forecasting to New Product Development Target Setting of LCD Panels. Hybrid Neural Network Model in Forecasting Aggregate U.S. Retail Sales. A Methodology for Combining Biased Demand Forecasts. Assessing a Modification to Croston's Method to Incorporate a Seasonal Component. Predicting the Performance of a Two-Stage Flowshop: Lower Bounds and Heuristics for Single and Bicriteria Measures. Advances in business and management forecasting. Advances in business and management forecasting. Advances in business and management forecasting. Copyright page.

巻冊次

v. 10 ISBN 9781784412098

内容説明

The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing and strategic decision making. It is the hope and direction of this research annual to become an applications and practitioner oriented publication. Topics will include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgementally based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accuracy, and sales response models.

目次

Forecasting the Net Asset Value of PRWCX. Copyright page. Editorial Advisory Board. Advances in business and management forecasting. List of Contributors. Advances in business and management forecasting. Advances in business and management forecasting. Using Prediction Intervals to Improve Information Quality of Bankruptcy Prediction Models. Comparison of Technological Performance between Digital Single-Lens Reflex Cameras and Mirrorless Cameras. Premium for Service Contracts for Damage Protection. Measuring Scale Efficiency in Data Envelopment Analysis Considering Environmental Influences. Evaluating a Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Stocking Spare Parts that Require Periodic Replenishment. Reducing Bias in Hierarchical Forecasting. Metrics for and Analysis of Variables for Wiki Use: A Case Study. A Comparison of Seasonal Regression Forecasting Models for the U.S. Beer Import Market. Components of a Decomposition Forecast of Stock Prices with Excel.

巻冊次

v. 11 ISBN 9781786355348

内容説明

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting presents state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to suce areas as finance, economics, technology, and forecasting accuracy. Volume 11 is split into four sections which address Forecasting in Marketing and Sales, Forecasting in Health Care, Forecasting in Business and Economics, and Topics in Forecasting. A number of topics are examined including brand experience, hospital bed management, population growth and online information sharing.

目次

PART I: FORECASTING IN MARKETING AND SALES Optimizing Resources to Better Forecast Future Profits - Kathleen Campbell Garwood, Alicia Graziosi Strandberg and Nicolle Clements Brand Experience and Customer Equity Prediction - Arthur Cheng-Hsui Chen, Shaw K. Chen and Chien-Lin Ma A Comparative Evaluation of Intermittent Demand Forecasting with Updated Smoothing Constants - Matthew Lindsey and Robert Pavur PART II: FORECASTING IN HEALTH CARE Forecasting Pain and Discomfort for Canines with Disease for Establishing Appropriate Medication Levels - Virginia M. Miori, Zhenpeng Miao and Yingdao Qu Honing a Predictive Model to Accurately Forecast the Number of Bed Days Needed to Cover Patient Volume for a Large Hospital System - Alan D. Olinsky, Kristin Kennedy and Michael Salzillo Can Rationality of USDA's Fixed-Event Crop Forecasts Be Improved? - Ran Xie, Olga Isengildina-Massa and Julia L. Sharp PART III: FORECASTING IN BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS Business School Forecasting for the Real World - John F. Kros and William J. Rowe Forecasting the Operating Income of MetLife - Kenneth D. Lawrence, Gary Kleinman and Sheila M. Lawrence Forecasting the Population Growth in China Based on the Welfare Efficiency and Demographic Statistics - Feng Yang, Yuan Yang and Zhimin Huang PART IV: TOPICS IN FORECASTING Modeling Los Angeles Water Leaks Using Different Measures of Temperature - Daniel E. O'Leary How Information Spreads in Online Social Networks - Christopher J. Quinn, Matthew J. Quinn, Alan D. Olinsky and John T. Quinn Is There a Home Run Derby Curse? - Daniel E. O'Leary

巻冊次

v. 12 : print ISBN 9781787430709

内容説明

Volume 12, Advances in Business and Management Forecasting, is a blind refereed serial publication. It presents state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as supply chain, health care, prospecting for donations from university alumni, and the use of clustering and regression in forecasting. The orientation of this volume is for business applications for both the researcher and the practitioner of forecasting. Volume 12 is divided into three sections: Forecasting Applications, Predictive Analytics and Time Series. An interdisciplinary group of experts explore wide-ranging topics including multi-criteria scoring models, detecting rare events, the assessment of control charts for intermittent data, and fuzzy time series models.

目次

• 1, The Effect of Released Information on Searching for Missing Children: The Case of the Baby Back Home Network
• Yang, F. Nuermarti Y. Huang, Z. 2, Enhanced Multicriteria Scoring Model
• Ko, K. 3, Forecasting Treatment Outcomes for the Futures Drug and Alcohol Rehabilitation Content
• Miori, V., Campbell Garwood, K., Cardamone, C. 4, An oversampling technique for classifying imbalanced datasets
• Nguyen, S.,Quinn, J., Olinsky, A. 5, Funding Analytics: A Predictive Analysis in a Major State Research University
• Lawrence, K., Kudbya, S., Lawrence, S. M. 6, A Novel Approach to Forecasting Regression and Cluster Analysis
• Klimberg, R., Ratick, S., Smith, H. 7, Forecasting Development of a Practical and Effective Forecasting Performance Measure
• Klimberg, R., Ratick, S. 8, Assessing the Design of Control Charts for Intermittent Data
• Lindsey, M., Pavur, R. 9, On the Causal Models of Fuzzy Time Series
• Duru, O. 10, Modeling and Forecasting with Fuzzy Time Series and Artificial Neural Networks, Duru, O.
• Butler, M. 11, Forecasting in Service Supply Chain Systems: A State-of-the-Art Review Using Latent Semantic Analysis
• Sudhanshu, J.

巻冊次

v. 13 : print ISBN 9781787542907

内容説明

Volume 13, Advances in Business and Management Forecasting, is a blind refereed serial publication. It presents state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales forecasting, retailing, service contracts, bankruptcy prediction, executive compensation, and call center staffing. The orientation of this volume is for business applications for both the researcher and the practitioner of forecasting. Volume 13 is divided into three sections: Marketing, Sales and Service Forecasting; Economic, Financial and Insurance Forecasting; and, CEO Compensation and Operations Forecasting. An interdisciplinary group of experts explore wide-ranging topics including omnichannel retailing, growth business cycles, under-resampling methods to detect non-injured passengers within car accidents and regression modeling of CEO compensation.

目次

• SECTION A: Marketing, Sales and Service Forecasting Chapter 1. Exploring the Suitability of Support Vector Regression and Radial Basis Function Approximation to Forecast Sales of Fortune 500 Companies
• V. Evangelista and R. Rommel Chapter 2. Buy-Online-and-Pick-Up-in-Store Strategy and Showroom Strategy in the Omnichannel Retailing
• F. Yang, X. Li and Z. Huang Chapter 3. Service Contracts for Delays in Delivery
• A. Mitra SECTION B: Economic, Financial and Insurance Forecasting Chapter 4. Growth Business Cycles and the Great Recession: Comparing State and County Unemployment Costs per capita for North Carolina
• C. M. Keller and J. W. Kleckly Chapter 5. Dimension Reduction in Bankruptcy Prediction: A Case Study of North American Companies
• S. Nguyen, E. Golas, W. Zywiak and K. Kennedy Chapter 6. Detecting Non-Injured Passengers and Drivers in Car Accidents: A New Under-Resampling Method for Imbalanced Classification
• S. Nguyen, G. Niu, J. Quinn, A. Olinsky, J. Ormsbee, R. Smith and J. Bishop SECTION C: CEO Compensation and Operations Forecasting Chapter 7. Regression Modeling of the Peer Group of Verizon Corporation for the CEO of Verizon
• D. Pai, K. Lawrence and S. M. Lawrence Chapter 8. Regression Modeling Based on a Peer Group for the Executive Compensation of AT&T CEO
• R. Klimberg, K. Lawrence and S. M. Lawrence Chapter 9. Agent Based Queuing Model for Call Center Forecasting and Management Optimization
• G. Niu, J. Vadiveloo and M. Xu

巻冊次

v. 6 ISBN 9781848555488

内容説明

The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making. (An accurate, robust forecast is critical to effective decision making). The focus of the research annual is applications - and practitioner-oriented. The topics will normally include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgmentally based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accuracy, and sales response models. It is the direction of the editorial board to stimulate the interest of the practitioners of forecasting to methods and techniques that are relevant.

目次

Competitive set forecasting in the hotel industry with an application to hotel revenue management. Predicting high-tech stock returns with financial performance measures: Evidence from Taiwan. Forecasting informed trading at merger announcements: The use of liquidity trading. Using data envelopment analysis (DEA) to forecast bank performance. Forecasting demand using partially accumulated data. Forecasting new adoptions: A comparative evaluation of three techniques of parameter estimation. The use of a flexible diffusion model for forecasting national-level mobile telephone and internet diffusion. Forecasting household response in database marketing: A latent trait approach. A new basis for measuring and evaluating forecasting models. Forecasting using internal markets, Delphi, and other approaches: The knowledge distribution grid. The effect of correlation between demands on hierarchical forecasting. Econometric count data forecasting and data mining (cluster analysis) applied to stochastic demand in truckload routing. Two-attribute warranty policies under consumer preferences of usage and claims execution. A dual transportation problem analysis for facility expansion/contraction decisions: A tutorial. Make-to-order product demand forecasting: Exponential smoothing models with neural network correction. List of Contributors. EDITORIAL BOARD. Advances in business and management forecasting. Advances in business and management forecasting volume 6. Copyright page.

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詳細情報

• NII書誌ID(NCID): BA24286229
• ISBN:
  • 0762304375
  • 9780762312818
  • 9780762314782
  • 9781848555488
  • 9780857242013
  • 9780857249593
  • 9781781903315
  • 9781784412098
  • 9781786355348
  • 9781787430709
  • 9781787542907
• 出版国コード: us
• タイトル言語コード: eng
• 本文言語コード: eng
• 出版地: Greenwich, Conn.
• ページ数/冊数: v.
• 大きさ: 23 cm