Forecasting with judgment

著者

書誌事項

Forecasting with judgment

edited by George Wright and Paul Goodwin

Wiley, c1998

大学図書館所蔵 件 / 全10件

この図書・雑誌をさがす

注記

Includes bibliographical references and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

This book provides research on the human element in forecasting. It focuses on how we can improve our ability to accurately forecast.

目次

Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy (S. Makridakis & A. Gaba). Scenario Planning: Scaffolding Disorganized Ideas about the Future (K. van der Heijden). Judgmental Forecasting and the Use of Available Information (M. O'Connor & M. Lawrence). Enhancing Judgmental Sales Forecasting: The Role of Laboratory Research (P. Goodwin). Heuristics and Biases in Judgmental Forecasting (F. Bolger & N. Harvey). Financial Forecasting with Judgment (D. OEnkal-Atay). Reasoning with Category Knowledge in Probability Forecasting: Typicality and Perceived Variability Effects (G. Browne & S. Curley). The Use of Structured Groups to Improve Judgmental Forecasting (G. Rowe). How Bad Is Human Judgment? (P. Ayton). Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series Forecasting: Principles from Empirical Research (J. Armstrong & F. Collopy). Index.

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