Macroeconomic forecasting : a sociological appraisal
著者
書誌事項
Macroeconomic forecasting : a sociological appraisal
（Routledge studies in the modern world economy, 20）
Routledge, 1999
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Macro-economic forecasting : a sociological appraisal
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注記
Includes bibliographical references (p. 214-223) and index
Title of the title page: Macro-economic forecasting : a sociological appraisal
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Drawing on interviews with the UK government's Panel of Independent Forecasters, the author shows how economic models, forecasts and policy analysis depend crucially upon the judgements of economists.
目次
1. Who Knows What Tomorrow Brings? Brief Introductions to Economic Forecasting and the Sociology of Scientific Knowledge 2. Cherished Beliefs and Statistics: How Economic Models are Estimated 3. Extrapolations and Expertise: How Economic Forecasts Are Made 4. Soothsaying or Science? Trying to Falsify an Economic Model 5. Different Models: Economic Forecasts in February 1993 6. Different Futures: Controversies and Disputes in July 1993 7. Difficult Choices: Policy Recommendations in October 1993 8. From TINA to TRACY: Economic Models, Economic Policy and Science Studies
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