Time-series forecasting
Author(s)
Bibliographic Information
Time-series forecasting
Chapman & Hall/CRC, c2001
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Note
Bibliography: p. [245]-261
Includes index
Description and Table of Contents
Description
From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space modelling to multivariate methods and including recent arrivals, such as GARCH models, neural networks, and cointegrated models.
The author compares the more important methods in terms of their theoretical inter-relationships and their practical merits. He also considers two other general forecasting topics that have been somewhat neglected in the literature: the computation of prediction intervals and the effect of model uncertainty on forecast accuracy.
Although the search for a "best" method continues, it is now well established that no single method will outperform all other methods in all situations-the context is crucial. Time-Series Forecasting provides an outstanding reference source for the more generally applicable methods particularly useful to researchers and practitioners in forecasting in the areas of economics, government, industry, and commerce.
Table of Contents
Preface. Glossary. Introduction. Basics of Time-Series Analysis. Univariate Time-Series Modelling. Univariate Forecasting Methods. Multivariate Forecasting Methods. A Comparative Assessment of Forecasting Methods. Calculating Interval Forecasts. Model Uncertainty and Forecast Accuracy. References. Index.
by "Nielsen BookData"