Understanding probability : chance rules in everyday life
著者
書誌事項
Understanding probability : chance rules in everyday life
Cambridge University Press, 2004
- : hbk.
- : pbk.
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注記
Includes bibliographical references and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Like it or not, chance plays a big part in our lives. Every day we face situations where the result is uncertain, and, perhaps without realizing it, we guess about the likelihood of one outcome or another. Fortunately, mastering the concepts of probability can cast new light on situations where randomness and chance appear to rule. In this book, which uses lotteries and casino games to provide the many illustrative examples, the reader can learn about the world of probability. The author demystifies the law of large numbers, betting systems, random walks, the bootstrap, rare events, the central limit theorem, the Bayesian approach and more. Written with wit and clarity, this book can be read easily by anyone who is not put off by a few numbers and some high-school algebra. It is also ideally suited to students of all disciplines taking their first course in probability.
目次
- Part I. Probability in Action: 1. Probability questions
- 2. The law of large numbers and simulation
- 3. Probabilities in everyday life
- 4. Rare events and lotteries
- 5. Probability and statistics
- 6. Chance trees and Bayes' rule
- Part II: 7. Foundations of probability theory
- 8. Conditional probability and Bayes
- 9. Basic rules for discrete random variables
- 10. Continuous random variables
- 11. Jointly distributed random variables
- 12. Multivariate normal distribution
- 13. Conditional distributions
- 14. Generating functions.
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