Political demography : how population changes are reshaping international security and national politics

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Political demography : how population changes are reshaping international security and national politics

edited by Jack A. Goldstone, Eric P. Kaufmann, Monica Duffy Toft

Oxford University Press, c2012

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Includes bibliographical references (p. 277-308) and index

Description and Table of Contents

Description

The field of political demography - the politics of population change - is dramatically underrepresented in political science. At a time when demographic changes - aging in the rich world, youth bulges in the developing world, ethnic and religious shifts, migration, and urbanization - are waxing as never before, this neglect is especially glaring and starkly contrasts with the enormous interest coming from policymakers and the media. "Ten years ago, [demography] was hardly on the radar screen," remarks Richard Jackson and Neil Howe of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, two contributors to this volume. "Today," they continue, "it dominates almost any discussion of America's long-term fiscal, economic, or foreign-policy direction." Demography is the most predictable of the social sciences: children born in the last five years will be the new workers, voters, soldiers, and potential insurgents of 2025 and the political elites of the 2050s. Whether in the West or the developing world, political scientists urgently need to understand the tectonics of demography in order to grasp the full context of today's political developments. This book begins to fill the gap from a global and historical perspective and with the hope that scholars and policymakers will take its insights on board to develop enlightened policies for our collective future.

Table of Contents

  • PART I Political Demography and Political Science
  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. A Theory of Political Demography: Human and Institutional Reproduction
  • PART II Population and International Security
  • 3. Demography and Geopolitics: Understanding Today's Debate in Its Historical Context
  • 4. America's Golden Years? Security in an Aging World
  • 5. A New Framework for Aging and Security: Lessons from Power Transition Theory
  • PART III Demography, Development, and Conflict
  • 6. Age Structure and Development through a Policy Lens
  • 7. The Age-Structural Maturity Thesis: The Impact of the Youth Bulge on the Advent and Stability of Liberal Democracy
  • 8. Youth Bulges and Violence
  • 9. Democracy, Climate Change, and Conflict
  • Part IV Demography and National Politics
  • 10. Racial Demographics and the 2008 Presidential Election in the United States
  • 11. Demography and Immigration Restriction in American History
  • 12. The Changing Face of Europe
  • 13. <"Go Forth and Multiply>": The Politics of Religious Demography
  • Part V Demography in Ethnic and Religious Conflicts
  • 14. Wombfare: The Religious and Political Dimensions of Fertility and Demographic Change
  • 15. Deter or Engage?: The Demographic Structure of EthnoNationalist Mobilization
  • 16. Demographic Change and Conflict in Contemporary Africa
  • 17. The Devil in the Demography? Religion, Identity and War in Cote d'Ivoire
  • Conclusion
  • 18. Politics and Demography: A Summary of Critical Relationships
  • References
  • Index
  • About the Contributors

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