Patterns of plausible inference
著者
書誌事項
Patterns of plausible inference
(Mathematics and plausible reasoning, v. 2)
Princeton University Press, 1968
2nd ed
- : cloth
- : paper
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注記
Includes bibliographies
内容説明・目次
内容説明
A guide to the practical art of plausible reasoning, this book has relevance in every field of intellectual activity. Professor Polya, a world-famous mathematician from Stanford University, uses mathematics to show how hunches and guesses play an important part in even the most rigorously deductive science. He explains how solutions to problems can be guessed at; good guessing is often more important than rigorous deduction in finding correct solutions. Vol. II, on Patterns of Plausible Inference, attempts to develop a logic of plausibility. What makes some evidence stronger and some weaker? How does one seek evidence that will make a suspected truth more probable? These questions involve philosophy and psychology as well as mathematics.
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